KBRA Altman

Providing Transparency and Analysis of Corporate Credit Default Data

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KBRA Altman, through its exclusive collaboration with Professor Edward Altman, PhD., provides in-depth analysis of the defaulted U.S. corporate bond and loan market via a collection of price indices and data that track current and historical defaults as well as recovery experiences of corporate issuers.

KBRA Altman’s suite of products provides valuable context for those invested in leveraged finance, corporate bond, and loan markets.
  • Functionality built into the product suite allows distressed investors to use the KBRA Altman indices to benchmark performance.
  • Credit portfolio managers are able to incorporate forecasts for recovery rates across industries while tracking key trends in corporate defaults.

KBRA Altman Corporate Default Analytics Consists of Two Major Products

Major-Product

DEFAULT AND RECOVERY ANALYTICS

A collection of price indices and associated analytics, which track the performance of U.S. corporate bonds and loans from issuers currently in default.

  • Tracks quarterly corporate high-yield defaults and emergences
    • Default and recovery rates going back to the 1970s
    • Data is shown quarterly and annualized
  • Model recovery rates as a function of default rate
  • Analysis also includes:
    • Amount of outstanding high-yield bonds
    • Issuers entering default in the quarter
    • Distribution of recovery rates
    • Average prices of defaulted bonds and loans
  • Year ahead default forecasts based on KBRA model
Major-Product

IN-DEPTH ANALYTICS

Data and associated analytics that track the historical default and recovery experience of U.S. high-yield corporate issuers.

Defaulted Price Indices

  • Composition of current KBRA Altman bond and loan indices
  • Index size and industry compositions over time
  • Event studies of post-default bond/loan performance as a function of:
    • Bond
    • Seniority
    • Size
    • Industry
    • Historical prices for value-weighted defaulted bond/loan indices

Defaults and Recoveries

  • Default amount by seniority and industry
  • Recovery rates by seniority and industry
  • List of largest defaults by year going back to the 1970s
  • Recovery versus default rate analysis

For inquiries, please Contact Us.

Our Senior Team

Van HesserChief Strategist

Van Hesser is a Senior Managing Director and Chief Strategist at Kroll Bond Rating Agency (KBRA) responsible for generating thought leadership in credit markets and cultivating relationships with the firm’s external clients and constituents. He previously served as a senior managing director and head of KBRA’s Financial Institutions and Corporates ratings groups, where he leveraged over 30 years of experience as an institutional investor, sell-side research analyst, investment banker, and regulator. Over the course of his career, Van was named to Institutional Investor Magazine’s All-America Fixed Income Research Team rankings 10 times across three categories and has served as an expert witness in important industry litigation. Prior to joining KBRA, Van was a managing director in the Financial Institutions Group at Wells Fargo Principal Investments. Previously, he worked at HSBC Securities for 10 years, most recently serving as global head of Credit Research. Van also held senior sell-side corporate bond research roles covering financial institutions at Credit Suisse First Boston and Goldman Sachs, as well as a corporate finance position in Salomon Brothers’ Financial Institutions Group. Van started his career as a bank examiner at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

Harry MamayskyKBRA Consultant; Professor of Professional Practice, Columbia Business School

Harry Mamaysky is a Professor of Professional Practice at Columbia Business School, where he serves as the Director of the Program for Financial Studies. He is also on the Steering Committee of the Columbia-IBM Center for Blockchain and Technology. Harry teaches capital markets and asset pricing to MBA, Masters, and PhD. students, as well as executive education courses on the use of text data in finance, on corporate bonds, and on investment management. Prior to his return to academia, Harry founded the Systemic Risk Group at Citigroup and served as a member of the firm’s Risk Executive Committee. Previous to that, he was a senior portfolio manager in Citi Principal Strategies, with a focus on relative value credit trading. He has held positions with Old Lane, Morgan Stanley, and Citicorp. Harry was also an assistant professor of finance at the Yale School of Management from 2000–2002.

Edward AltmanSenior Advisor to KBRA; Max L. Heine Professor of Finance Emeritus at NYU’s Stern School of Business

Edward Altman is the Max L. Heine Professor of Finance Emeritus at New York University, Stern School of Business and Director of the Credit and Fixed Income Research Program at the NYU Salomon Center. He currently serves as a Senior Advisor to KBRA. Dr. Altman has an international reputation as an expert on corporate bankruptcy, high-yield bonds, distressed debt, and credit risk analysis. Ed is the creator of the world famous Altman Z-Score models for bankruptcy prediction of firms globally. He was named Laureate 1984 by the Hautes Études Commerciales Foundation in Paris for his accumulated works on corporate distress prediction models and procedures for firm financial rehabilitation and awarded the Graham & Dodd Scroll for 1985 by the Financial Analysts Federation for his work on default rates and high-yield corporate debt. Ed was a founding executive editor of the Journal of Banking & Finance and serves on the editorial board of several other finance scholarly journals. Dr. Altman was inducted into the Fixed Income Analysts Society Hall of Fame in 2001 and elected president of the Financial Management Association (2003) and a fellow of the FMA in 2004, and was among the inaugural inductees into the Turnaround Management Association’s Hall of Fame in 2008. In 2005, he was named one of the 100 Most Influential People in Finance by Treasury & Risk Management magazine and is frequently quoted in the popular press and on network television. During his long career, Ed has been an advisor to many financial institutions including Merrill Lynch, Salomon Brothers, Citigroup, Concordia Advisors, Investcorp, Paulson & Co., S&P Global Market Intelligence, and the RiskMetrics Group, (MSCI, Inc.). He currently serves as an Advisor to Golub Capital, Classis Capital (Italy) and Wiserfunding in London, Clearing Bid, Inc., SREI Capital (Singapore), ESG Portfolio Management (Frankfurt) and AlphaFixe (Montreal). Ed also serves on the board of Franklin Mutual Series and Alternative Investments Funds. He is also Chairman of the Academic Advisory Council of the Turnaround Management Association and a Founding Trustee of the Museum of American Finance.

Contact KBRA Altman

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